Backtest — 1 year ago

← Growth-trend timing (unemployment)

Growth-trend timing (unemployment): holding SPY or cash from 07 Oct 2025, compared with buying and holding SPY.

Complete 1/1

Account simulation — $100k traded day by day

Account return

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Max drawdown

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Closed trades

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Avg invested

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rest sat in cash

Final value

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Strategy account SPY buy & hold

Trade log

Ticker	Bought	Sold	Why	Return (after costs)

Investment Simulator — Decision Support

If I invested

equally across all passing stocks

Quick amounts: | Apply exit rules (this strategy's actual stop loss / take profit / hold rule) — uncheck to see "let winners run" (buy & hold to current price)

Ticker	Allocated	Shares	Exit rule	Proceeds	P&L

Total invested

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Total proceeds

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Your return

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SPY return (same period)

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vs Index

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Exit rules are simulated day-by-day using this strategy's own exit_func (the same logic applied to live positions) — sell/stop/take-profit triggers are not inferred from the final return alone. Prices approximate — does not account for bid/ask spread or taxes.

Ticker	Price (Oct 2025)	Price Now	Return	Exit	vs SPY	Criteria